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Climate Change

Paulo Cunha, a technical consultant at the Petrobras research and development center, CENPES, is experiencing a special moment. As a scientist on the Intergovernmental Panel for Climatic Change (IPCC), a commission created by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and by the United Nations Ecological Program (UNEP), he shared the winning of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize with the ex-vice-president of the United States, Al Gore, and the entire IPCC team. Also, since he is one of the editors of the entire content of the report on the capture and storage of carbon dioxide (CO2) issued by the commission in 2005, a document consolidating studies on the subject, the award has a special meaning for him. After all, the increasing level of carbon dioxide liberated into the atmosphere thanks to the actions of mankind is one of the principal causes of global warming and the capturing of carbon is one of the best solutions to mitigate the problem and consequently the climate changes presently occurring and still to come in the world.

Global warming causes the thawing of polar icecaps and an increase in the sea level, which can submerge islands

In your opinion, what is the significance of the Nobel Peace Prize awarded to Al Gore and the IPCC for their efforts in spreading knowledge about climate change brought on by mankind and in establishing the bases for the implementation of measures to minimize such changes?

It is an enriching and motivating experience to see the Nobel Prize being awarded to a large group of people and seeing their work of almost two decades being recognized. The IPCC, created in 1998, brings together all the member countries of the World Meteorological Organization and the United Nations Ecological Program (UNEP), as well as thousands of scientists from innumerable countries, who have acted as authors, collaborators, and editors of the published reports. The prize belongs to them all. Included in this group are the senior consultant of the Exploration and Production unit of Petrobras in Bahia, PauloSergio Rocha, and the researcher from the company’s Health, Safety, and the Environment area seconded to the Brazilian Ministry of Science and Technology, José Domingos Miguez. But it was the ex-vice-president of the United States who, defending the same cause, managed to attract world attention to the need to mitigate climatic changes as soon as possible. Gore’s release of the documentary film An Inconvenient Truth, which won an Oscar, and a book he wrote with the same title contributed significantly to increasing people’s awareness of the serious consequences of human behavior on Earth, including the poor use of natural resources and the emission of pollutants into the atmosphere. In addition, it taught people what can be done to make the planet sustainable in the future.

Why was this work in favor of the mitigation of climate change awarded the Nobel Peace Prize?

The increase in the temperature of the planet will cause the appearance of new deserts

There is great potential for conflict involved in the question of climate change. The increase in the sea level, which, in 100 to 200 years, could reach 10 meters due to the melting of polar icecaps, if nothing is done to reduce global warming, could, for example, submerge the Maldivas Islands in the Indian Ocean and islands in the Pacific and inundate land in Bangladesh and Manhattan. Semi-desert regions, like Darfur, in sub-Saharan Africa, would become even more desert-like because of the increase in the temperature of the planet. New deserts would arise. The temperature increase, which could reach 6ºC by the end of the century, would also increase the temperature of the water in the oceans and would increase the incidence of hurricanes, typhoons, and tornadoes. As a result, multitudes of people would have to be relocated from their homes to more secure areas. The reduction of available agricultural land would probably increase world hunger, principally among the poorer classes. Resources such as drinking water and energy would become scarce. Also, as warmer climates favor the proliferation of disease-carrying mosquitoes, diseases such as dengue fever, yellow fever, and malaria would increase. Mosquito procreation would also increase in deforested areas and epidemics would spread more easily. The mitigation of climate changes, as shown in studies by the IPCC and by Al Gore, would prevent disputes over land, drinking water, food, and energy. As a result, world peace would be preserved and the future of the planet would continue to be viable, thanks also to people’s awareness of the need to adopt rational resource consumption practices, without waste.

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